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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 5th, 2023

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  • https://abc.com/news/02867c69-fefa-4807-a561-bb2d77425d5e/category/1138628

    Biden has an easy, but hopefully not too softball, interview scheduled for Friday (July 5th), with a transcript available that night and the full interview airing on Sunday.

    The interview is with George Stephanopoulos who worked in the Clinton Whitehouse, so he will be favorable to Biden. However Biden needs to prove that the poor debate performance was a fluke, so it can’t just be softball questions.

    Also the transcript being available earlier means everyone is going to be clear on the message (which is good in general) but also means the focus is going to be on performance.

    If Democrats/Biden spend the next week embarrassed by that interview then Biden is probably done. The RNC holds their convention the following week, they’ll beat on Biden and you can either let them (wasting time/energy) or you can announce just as it gets started and suck the air out of their convention.

    However I fully expect this interview to go well. This is a smart idea by Biden (the timing sucks, but he doesn’t have much of a choice). He needs to prove that debate was a fluke. This is exactly what you want to see from Biden. But it he fucks up again, it’s going to hurt.

    Everyone knows Trump is a steaming pile of shit. People voting for him don’t care. Democrats will come out and support Biden, but you need the undecided voters (whomever they are) to go with them.

    So to answer your question, I fully expect Biden to go all the way to the election. I’m not sure that’s what I want or that it’s the best idea, but Biden is taking the right steps to turn things around. This next week is an important one.



  • To be fair “have a beer with” is about trust.

    If I can’t sit down with you, have a beer, and enjoy myself, I can’t trust you. A president is going to encounter unknown challenges and I need to trust them to solve it.

    That being said Trump fails that test immediately. There is no version of “having a beer” with Trump where I could trust him.

    Biden however? If you asked the average American what they know about Biden one of the top three answers is “having a beer”, it’s called “grabbing an ice cream” but the principal is the same.


  • We know Trump is a liar.

    Biden had to prove he wasn’t feeble… and he failed at that.

    Voting for Biden and his administration is still 100% the correct decision, but that debate isn’t going to convince any swing voters. If you want to use the incumbency advantage you need to convince folks you can stay the course for the next 4 years.


  • You know who just had the opportunity to focus on what Trump did (and is doing) wrong and flubbed it? Biden.

    A vote for Biden is the easiest decision I’ll make this year. Biden and his administration are doing solid work and I want to see more of it. Trump ensures genocide in Gaza. Trump ensures even more horrible acts in Ukraine by Russia. Trump ensures an even further conservative Supreme Court, further destroying and reversing settled law. Another 4 years of Trump will be a disaster.

    But I know this already.

    Any other generic Democrat would have kicked Trump’s ass last night. Trump tells a lie, they correct it. Biden got a few blows in but he flubbed so many more.

    Look at abortion, a layup for Democrats. America as a whole agrees with Democrats on the issue. What did Biden do? Fumbled and wandered into something about immigration.

    The focus on Biden because we want better. Biden is better. Prove it.




  • You’re allowed to criticize Biden and the Democratic Party.

    Without a doubt voting for Trump is the biggest mistake anyone can make. It you’re not happy about the Israel situation Trump is the worst person to solve it. Trump’s answer is “kill them all” and with no regard for innocent lives, children or civilians. It’s continued genocide and it is not acceptable. Trump can’t be reasoned with because he isn’t a reasonable person.

    Biden and the Democratic Party, that’s the answer. However it’s stupid to ignore the millions in money that have come their way. Biden and Democrats aren’t perfect, far from it. But they are reasonable, they can be reasoned with.

    No single individual or single election is going to solve all our problems. It’s a long process. Biden has done plenty of good, as have Democrats. But Biden and Democrats can do better.


  • Obviously I don’t know what the details of he suit against Disney but the truth is Disney fucked up and they knew it.

    Disney tried to gain a few extra bucks at the cost of a legal battle with Johansson. If Disney won it would have been a clear signal that Disney is willing to screw over top talent for a few million dollars.

    Not to compare “Black Widow” to “Endgame”, but that’s squabbling over millions when billions are at stake.

    Looking at someone like Johansson that’s squabbling over millions when tens of hundreds millions are at stake. Contracts with top talent now take longer, top talent is a little less likely to work with Disney.

    It all but guaranteed a loss for Disney.

    The settlement was Disney’s way of saying “we fucked up”, and truth be told was probably at least partially responsible for Bob Chapek being replaced as CEO.


  • Layoffs also shake every other employee in an immeasurable way.

    Even if you didn’t lay someone off they may now change their priorities. Maybe they focus on the people pleaser tasks. Maybe they focus more on what is good for them to keep their job vs what is good for the company.

    Layoffs should be a last resort but tech companies are just playing follow the leader right now. In a few years we’ll see memoirs and books stating “in hindsight we may have made a mistake, but we made the best decision we could with the information we had at the time”, it’s all absolutely bullshit. This is all being done for a temporary stock boost.