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Cake day: June 13th, 2023

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  • Because any country fighting a war on defense against aggressors/invaders knows that the path to winning is to hold strong, wait out the clock, and drain resources from the enemy. Something as essential as that will cause urgency to redirect resources and personnel to replace/repair and then better defend it so that it doesn’t just immediately happen again. This makes defense easier because there’s less of an offense while that’s happening. This also can cause internal loss of support since Russian citizens can see the costs of this going up. They will know people who were sent to die on the front lines. They will see taxes go up and availability of goods go down. Once Russian citizens start to question and criticize the campaign, there could be a snowball effect that ends with Putin and his cronies having to make a choice between stopping the invasion or losing power. I don’t think Putin will ever stop, so the real choice will be desperate attacks (which could include nukes, triggering article 5 and effectively ending Russia) or a coup. Putin has checkmated himself whether he is aware of it yet or not. His best case scenario at this point is dying of natural causes in office and leaving that hard decision to his successor who will probably back down and be a pariah for it, saving Russia in the process.


  • If things would stop getting shittier, then yes. I’m not entirely sure that it applies here so I understand your annoyance, but you’re seeing “enshittification” everywhere because we’re seeing the practice of enshittification everywhere. I applaud it being called out. We shouldn’t be seeing higher prices for worse experiences, but that’s the current trend. If you’re tired of seeing the word, then it’d probably be a good idea to take a break from c/technology because I don’t think it’s stopping any time soon.




  • Trump signed an executive order to put it in place later. Biden on day one paused everything to vet whether it aligned with where he wanted to steer the country. He decided to not do that by something as flimsy as an executive order and made it a piece of a big bill that was signed into law, protecting it beyond the whims of a future president. Trump’s administration deserves credit for mobilizing it, but executive orders probably don’t have the teeth to actually make that idea come true and definitely are far from permanent. Now it is the law of the land, and that’s because it went through both parts of Congress and then was signed into law. It is indisputable that charging more for insulin is against the law, and this law was a textbook case of legislating constitutionally. Big pharma has no grounds for suing or not complying, but they might’ve if it were just an executive order.




  • Maybe I’m being optimistic, but I have to assume that since an adult is in the white house right now and since we know what happened on Jan 6, there will be significantly more resources in place to protect the Capitol and other government buildings around the country this upcoming January. Plus we’ve seen that the FBI got a bunch of them and charged, convicted, and sentenced them, so there’s some precedent to act as a deterrent now. The cultists may be fucking morons, but they’re also absolute goddamn cowards, so I don’t think they’ll try to “storm” shit that is obviously properly defended, especially when they know that they’ll probably be caught and go to prison for it. At least not thousands of them like last time. Maybe like 50 total will push through, but they ain’t even getting to the steps outside this time.





  • I think that if he’d just kept his mouth shut and not violated the gag order so many times, there’d be a 99.9% chance of no prison time. Because he kept attempting to intimidate people and will undoubtedly commit some sort of stochastic terrorism (again) as a result of the 34 guilty verdicts, now I’m not so sure. Were I a betting man, I’d say that’s down to about 50% with the other 50% being still pretty tame, probably 1-6 months imprisonment + probation. Because home confinement would actually be something of a reward for him, I’m really hoping that he doesn’t just get house arrest where he can watch TV, tweet, and order KFC all day every day.

    If the judge allows threats of violence to sway his decision, that’s literally letting the terrorists win. Do the right thing. If people act out as a result, so be it. They’ll get arrested and charged for their crimes next. My realistic expectation is an aggravated temper tantrum, not an assassination conducted with surgical precision. At worst, some gravy seals might shoot a few people, but probably just random civilians because they’re not smart enough to get to anybody specific.








  • All fair points that I didn’t want to hear lol. At the same time, it’s been proven that a man of color can win the presidency and that a woman of color can win the vice presidency in this country, so I’m hesitant to jump right into thinking that only a white, Christian, hetero, cis man can beat trump. It might even get more excitement out of people to come vote for something that isn’t yet another old white guy, which is the only real reason I was hesitant to mention Newsom.

    Idk, it’s all speculation on a hypothetical situation, so it’s impossible to say how well anybody would’ve done in this scenario. Just interesting to hear others’ thoughts and see a more thoughtful take than usual. Cheers :)


  • there’s really nobody I could see on the Democrat side of the aisle who’s both ready and able to take down Trump this year

    I think it’s probably too late to even bother speculating, but I think that there are a few who could’ve been better picks if Biden had chosen to not run for reelection and we got a full primary. Adam Schiff has proven to be organized and effective. Katie Porter might need more experience, but the way CA districts got adjusted it might’ve been a good time for her to shoot her shot. Hakeem Jeffries has proven his ability to unite the party. Gavin Newsom ain’t perfect, but I wouldn’t be surprised by a Presidential run in 28 or 32; he could’ve been a solid pick for this year too. I know he’s had an unsuccessful attempt already, but Pete Buttigieg is charismatic af, speaks laps around everybody, and now has more experience than in his run years ago; he’s much more ready now.

    I’m certainly missing other rising stars, and each of these people has their own baggage as everybody does, but I’m confident that these all would’ve been good nominees right now. I didn’t bother renaming Raskin, but I think he would’ve done fine this year too. Crockett is great, but I think she might need a little more time before she can realistically hope for a successful Presidential run. I’d love to see her do more in committees, go to the Senate, or even get a cabinet position before she tries for that level. I like her passion and no nonsense approach, but I want to see her capability for calm unity over clapback, and I think that will come from further experience.

    Idk, I’m kinda excited for up and coming younger Democrats; I’m also terrified of the dogshit up and coming younger Republicans who are basically just professional twitter trolls.